Oct 1, 2025 at 12:33 AM#26
dan_philly said:The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the…
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.
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Oct 2, 2025 at 1:16 PM#27
dan_philly said:The boring version of this is the one that works, and the boring version is: measure a baseline, change one variable, wait, measure again under the…
Thank you — that is the clearest version of this I have read, and I have read a lot of them. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.
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Oct 4, 2025 at 2:00 AM#28
Clinical perspective, offered as context rather than as advice. It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false. If nothing would look different, it is not a claim about the world and no amount of discussion will settle it.
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View ResultsOct 5, 2025 at 2:45 PM#29
jim_asheville said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
Can confirm. Same sequence, different timescale.
Last edited: Oct 5, 2025 at 7:45 PM
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